Geostatistics, extreme events and Machine Learning for the climate transition

A project at heart of two transitions

A digital transition

Massive and heterogeneous environmental data, making new geostatistical and Machine Learning methods necessary.

A climate transition

In response to changes affecting air, water, soil and biodiversity, unprecedented in their amplitude, speed and simultaneous nature.

The objectives of the chair in three lines of research

Develop effective methods and tools to process spatialized and temporal data in order to assess the impacts and quantify the risks associated with ongoing climate change.

Predictive methods

Develop predictive methods for spatial and spatio-temporal phenomena, capable of processing large datasets.

A toolbox

Develop innovative simulation methods for extreme events and risk assessment and distribute them freely.

Hybrid approaches

Hybridize the ability of geostatistics to interpolate in space and time and that of Machine Learning to extract links and knowledge.

Publications

 
This work, accepted for publication in Statistical Science, leverages the Gaussian mixture perspective to propose extensions covering new classes of covariance functions for nonstationary (univariate or multivariate) spatio-temporal GRFs, as well as simulation algorithms for those that are currently missing in the framework of spectral simulation.

Uncertainty Quantification of Spline Predictors on Compact Riemannian Manifolds

Spatio-temporal models - Published 09 / 04 / 2026 by Charlie SIRE (Mines Paris PSL) - Mike PEREIRA (Mines Paris PSL)

 
To predict smooth physical phenomena from observations, spline interpolation provides an interpretable framework by minimizing an energy functional associated with the Laplacian operator. This work proposes a methodology to construct a spline predictor on a compact Riemannian manifold, while quantifying the uncertainty inherent in the classical deterministic solution.

Events

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